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Cash-short Cuba reports big jump in trade deficit
Cuba's trade deficit soared by nearly 70 percent, or an estimated $5 billion, in 2008 due mainly to rising prices for imports such as food and oil and falling prices for nickel, its main export, official media said on Friday.

Foreign Trade Minister Raul de la Nuez said in a speech to parliament deputies on Thursday that imports surged 43.8 percent while exports grew just 2.1 percent, said the Communist party daily, Granma.

The news follows reports that Cuba, battered by three hurricanes and the global financial crisis, is facing a cash crunch that is forcing it to seek debt restructuring with various countries and companies and delay cash transfers for payments abroad.

"Dealing with the trade balance is a strategic issue for the country's economic survival," Ricardo Cabrisas, vice president of the Council of Ministers in charge of international economic relations, told the meeting.

Granma gave no figures for 2008, but estimates based on the numbers from de la Nuez and data for 2007 would place imports at $16.1 billion and exports at $4.4 billion, leaving a deficit of $11.7 billion.

That would be an increase of $4.8 billion, or 69.5 percent, over official figures for 2007, that showed a deficit of $6.9 billion, with exports totaling $4.3 billion and imports $11.2 billon.

The government reports foreign exchange data in the convertible peso which it pegs at $1.08.

President Raul Castro, who formally replaced older brother Fidel Castro as president in February, has been warning for several months Cuba would have to tighten its belt due to rising international prices for food and fuel that had pushed up the cost of imports.

The global financial crisis has made it difficult for Cuba to get credit to purchase imports, which include 60 percent of its food.

Over the last few years Cuba has helped pay for its trade deficit, which is a measure of goods bought and sold, through revenue from tourism and service exports, mainly for health and education to oil-rich ally Venezuela.

Three hurricanes struck the island starting in late August, causing an estimated $10 billion in damages.

Nickel prices have plummeted worldwide amid rising production and falling demand to between $10,000 and $15,000 per ton from a high of around $50,000 in 2007.

Cuba reported a debt of $17.8 billion and current account balance of payments surplus of $527 million in 2007, based on $9 billion in service exports.

But tourism revenues were expected to increase by just a few hundred million dollars this year and there was no mention by the media on Friday of a significant increase in other service exports, all but ensuring a big deficit in this year's current account balance of payments.

From: Reuters
29 Dec 2008 by admin
The Havana Journal



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